Development of Efficient External Multi-Hazard Risk Quantification Methodology for Nuclear Facilities

Probabilistic safety assessment (PSA) of nuclear facilities on external multi-hazards has become a major issue after the Fukushima accident in 2011.However, the existing external hazard PSA methodology is for single hazard events and cannot cover the impact of multi-hazards.Therefore, this study proposes a methodology for quantifying multi-hazard risks for nuclear energy plants.Specifically, we developed an efficient multi-hazard PSA methodology based on the probability distribution-based Boolean algebraic approach and sampling-based method, which are currently single-hazard PSA methodologies.The limitations of the probability distribution-based Boolean algebraic approach not being able to handle partial Doll Clothes dependencies between the components are solved through this sampling-based method.

In addition, we devised an algorithm that was more efficient than the existing algorithm for improving the limits of the current sampling-based method, as it required a significant computational time.The proposed methodology was applied from simple examples to single- and multi-hazard Microfibre Cloths PSA examples of actual nuclear power plants.The results showed that the proposed methodology was verified in terms of accuracy and efficiency perspectives.Regarding the sampling-based method, it was confirmed that the proposed algorithm yielded fragility and risk results that have similar degrees of accuracy, even though it extracted a smaller number of samples than the existing algorithm.

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